The commencement of the new rapeseed market season is marked by logistics emerging as the pivotal element in market development.
This insight was shared by Svitlana Kupriieva, an oil market analyst at “UkrAgroConsult.”
“While the export duty in the 2025/26 MY encouraged a shift towards domestic processing of rapeseed and boosted record exports of processed products, in the 2026/27 MY, the operational capacity of seaports becomes the primary concern,” she emphasized.
The expert noted that during the 2025/26 MY, export volumes decreased to 1.9 million tons (a 39% reduction compared to the 2024/25 MY). The proportion of the harvested crop exported also fell to 59% (typically 85-95% for Ukraine). Rapeseed is losing its status as an export-driven commodity. The reduced harvest and the impact of the duty have altered the crop utilization structure in favor of processors. Domestic processing surged to 1.3 million tons (+160%).
“Despite optimistic forecasts for the new harvest, the ability to market it promptly will dictate the level of competition between exporters and processors, price trends, and the structure of the domestic market. Concurrently, Ukraine maintains a robust presence in the European rapeseed and rapeseed oil markets, while the export destinations for rapeseed meal are becoming more varied,” concluded Svitlana Kupriieva.